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21 Nov 2008 BNZ Economy Watch - The Darkest Hour
Stage two of the recession begins; marked by rising unemployment, a weakening export performance and a slump in investment. But this is not Armageddon.
20 Nov 2008 BNZ Strategist
The current recession is hitting us in two stages; OIS pricing has moved further during the past fortnight; the NZD/USD remains hostage to global events
20 Nov 2008 BNZ Models & Technicals
19 Nov 2008 BNZ Economy Watch - Q3 PPIs a Picture of (Lagged) Strength
Somewhat predictably, this morning's producer price report revealed another hefty lift in firm's non-labour input costs, up 3.7% during the September quarter
17 Nov 2008 BNZ Markets Outlook - Lower Food Prices Add to Disinflationary Mix
Falling food prices became a reality in October's food price index data, released this morning
17 Nov 2008 BNZ Economy Watch - Service sector continues to struggle in tough economic conditions
More pain to come with the next leg of the downturn likely to be led by a sharp contraction in investment activity and a significant increase in the unemployment rate
14 Nov 2008 BNZ Economy Watch - Inflation Collapsing
Inflation is collapsing. We expect no change in the aggregate price level over the next six months.
13 Nov 2008 BNZ Economy Watch - Will Q4 Retailing Buck the Negative Trend?
September/Q3 retail about as weak as expected. Though we're wondering if Q4 retail spending might be set for a positive surprise.
13 Nov 2008 BNZ Economy Watch - Manufacturing activity sinks to new low in October
NZ's manufacturing sector has mirrored offshore results, with activity falling to a record low in October
10 Nov 2008 BNZ Markets Outlook - NZ Buffers in for a Buffeting
The election campaign made it clear; there is great concern about the economy. The easy options, on the back of a previously over-inflating economy, have gone.
6 Nov 2008 BNZ Strategist
Although interest rate pricing implies the market has coalesced around a 75bp cut at the 4 December's OCR review, we're still of the view that a 50bp move is more likely
6 Nov 2008 BNZ Models & Technicals
6 Nov 2008 BNZ Financial Markets Wrap - Chaos and Carnage
A melt-down in the financial sector wrecks havoc across markets early in the month
6 Nov 2008 BNZ Economy Watch - Employment Hanging In There
Today's employment report continues to reflect an ongoing deterioration in domestic labour market conditions - a deterioration that will accelerate over the next twelve months
3 Nov 2008 BNZ Markets Outlook - Wages Push Coming To Shove
This morning's wage and salary data were on the strong side of expectations (as was the QES filled-jobs series)
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